Castro’s announcement that he is temporarily turning over power to his brother Raul coincides with my reading of the New Yorker’s article in the July 31 issue by Jon Lee Anderson, about the speculation in Cuba about Castro’s plans for succession and about the US’ plans.
Anderson reports that the Bush administration has appointed Caleb McCarry as the “Cuba transition coordinator,” who describes his job as to be “the senior US official in charge of planning and supporting a genuine democractic transition in Cuba, and to work on it now” (p. 54). Anderson calls him “in effect, the Paul Bremer designate of Cuba.” McCarry says that they are trying to learn from Iraq — that, for example, a governmental structure should remain in place. McCarry is quoted as saying that the accession of Raul would not be satisfactory. “We will continue to offer support for a real transition.”